Baseball
Chaos may follow when Sasaki signs
Roki Sasaki will be eligible to sign with Major League Baseball teams during a unique nine-day window starting Wednesday, a situation that has significant implications for Latin American teenagers whose multi-million dollar unofficial agreements are on hold while Sasaki makes his decision.
The Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres are considered the front-runners to sign Sasaki, with the Toronto Blue Jays also in the mix.
Sasaki, a highly sought-after 23-year-old right-handed pitcher, could have secured a nine-figure deal in Major League Baseball if he stayed healthy and waited until after the 2026 season to be posted by his Japanese club. Yoshinobu Yamamoto took a similar path, eventually signing a 10-year, $325 million contract with the Dodgers in December 2023, a record for a pitcher.
Because Sasaki is under 25 and has not played six seasons in Nippon Professional Baseball, he is classified as an international amateur by MLB. This limits him to a minor league contract, governed by strict spending caps established through collective bargaining agreements. These rules were implemented in 2012, with a hard cap introduced in 2017.
Players from outside the 50 U.S. states, Puerto Rico, and Canada are all considered part of the international amateur free agency system, and Sasaki is included in the 2025 group, which mostly consists of players born between Sept. 1, 2007, and Aug. 31, 2008. The signing period officially begins on Wednesday morning.
Sasaki has a short timeframe to sign with an MLB team due to a separate 45-day posting window required by the MLB-NPB agreement. He must make his decision by 4 p.m. Central on Jan. 23, or his rights will remain with Japan’s Chiba Lotte Marines in the Pacific League.
The majority of international amateur free agents are young Latin American players. Last year, 546 international amateurs signed from the Dominican Republic, 365 from Venezuela, 52 from Mexico, and smaller numbers from countries like Panama (26), Colombia (24), Curacao (11), the Bahamas (9), Nicaragua (7), Australia (6), Taiwan (6), Aruba (5), Brazil (2), Japan (2), and Costa Rica, Germany, Haiti, and Uganda (1 each).
Although the 2025 class can’t officially sign contracts until Wednesday, handshake agreements are common in regions such as the Dominican Republic, Colombia, and Venezuela. These informal agreements are sometimes made years in advance with players as young as 14, promising them millions despite their impoverished backgrounds.
Each MLB team’s bonus pool ranges from about $5.1 to $7.6 million, and signing Sasaki could potentially drain an entire team’s budget. This might force teams to back out of handshake agreements with other players to free up space in their pool. However, finding another team for these dropped players might be tough, as other clubs are likely holding back significant portions of their pools for similar deals.
Last year, 290 contracts were finalized as soon as the signing window opened. This year, teams seem to be delaying agreements in hopes of securing Sasaki, possibly even postponing deals until 2026. Some players, like Dominican shortstop Darell Morel, have already adjusted their plans, choosing to sign with Pittsburgh instead of the Dodgers, as reported by Baseball America.
Each team has a set amount it can spend on international amateur free agents based on factors like their previous year’s record and spending on major league free agents. For 2025, eight teams, including the Athletics, Cincinnati, and Miami, have the highest bonus pool of about $7.6 million. Six teams have around $6.9 million, and twelve others have about $6.3 million. The Dodgers and San Francisco have the smallest pools at $5.1 million.
Starting Wednesday, teams can trade up to 60% of their signing bonus pool, allowing them to increase their allotment by up to $250,000 at a time, with the option to trade their entire remaining pool in one move.
Sasaki is a top-tier talent, already proven in high-level professional leagues and international tournaments. If he were a professional free agent, his value would be in the hundreds of millions. However, like Shohei Ohtani in 2017, Sasaki prioritizes playing at the highest level over maximizing his initial MLB contract.
In the 2023 World Baseball Classic, Sasaki threw 21 of 66 pitches over 100 mph against the Czech Republic, reaching 101.9 mph, and topped 100 mph 26 times in a semifinal against Mexico, including a 101.8 mph strikeout of big leaguer Randy Arozarena.
Last season, Sasaki posted a 10-5 record with a 2.35 ERA, striking out 129 batters in 111 innings despite dealing with shoulder inflammation. Over his four seasons with the Chiba Lotte Marines, he has a 29-15 record with a 2.10 ERA and threw a perfect game in April 2022.
If Sasaki makes a major league roster in 2025, he would earn the league’s minimum salary of $760,000. He could then become eligible for arbitration after the 2027 season and free agency in 2030.
Due to the posting system, the Marines will receive a small release fee—25% of Sasaki’s signing bonus. Shohei Ohtani went through a similar system when he signed with the Angels in 2018 for $2.315 million. Ohtani’s early salaries were much lower than his market value, but he earned substantial pay through arbitration before agreeing to a record 10-year, $700 million deal with the Dodgers in 2024.
Baseball
How Shohei Ohtani’s first year transformed the Dodgers financially
The announcements flowed like clockwork at the start of last season, with the Dodgers issuing a near-weekly stream of press releases about new Japanese sponsorships.
April 1: The Dodgers partnered with All Nippon Airways, Japan’s largest airline, in a multi-year deal.
April 4: They inked a multi-year agreement with Toyo Tires, one of Japan’s top tire manufacturers.
April 8: The team announced a partnership with Kowa, a Japanese trading and manufacturing giant.
April 22: A multi-year deal was signed with Daiso, a popular Japanese retailer.
The list kept growing throughout the year, with the Dodgers securing deals with Japanese companies spanning various industries, including cosmetics (Kosé), fermented dairy drinks (Yakult), and electric vehicles (Afeela).
This flurry of activity aligned with the Dodgers’ expectations after signing Shohei Ohtani exactly a year ago. The two-way star and three-time MVP, who agreed to a 10-year, $700-million contract with deferred payments, brought unprecedented global attention and significant marketing opportunities.
Now, 12 months later, top Dodgers executives admit Ohtani’s impact surpassed even their boldest projections. Just as his bat transformed the team’s championship lineup on the field, his global stardom revolutionized the franchise’s business potential off it.
“We do our best to capitalize on whatever opportunities we have, and I think we were well prepared for it,” team president Stan Kasten said. “But what we weren’t prepared for was how significant his impact would be. It really transcended any of our plans. It just did.”
Toward the end of Shohei Ohtani’s time with the Angels, the Japanese superstar was estimated to generate around $10 million to $20 million annually in additional revenue for the team. Many of the companies now advertising at Dodger Stadium previously had prominent signage at Angel Stadium.
After Ohtani signed with the Dodgers, expectations for his revenue-generating potential only increased. The Dodgers boasted a larger fan base, a globally recognized brand, and a competitive edge as the premier team in Southern California. Even before factoring in the extraordinary $680 million in deferrals Ohtani included in his contract — a structure allowing the Dodgers to pay him just $2 million annually in salary to maintain payroll flexibility — some industry analysts projected his value to the team could easily triple.
It turns out those projections might have underestimated his true impact.
Beyond a surge in corporate sponsorship deals, the Dodgers experienced growth in ticket sales, merchandise revenue, and even stadium tours. According to Japanese tourism officials, over 80% of visitors from Japan to Los Angeles make a point to visit Dodger Stadium.
As Ohtani powered the Dodgers to their first full-season World Series title since 1988, chief marketing officer Lon Rosen noted a palpable “buzz in the community,” translating into heightened interest in the team. “More people are buying merchandise, tickets, hot dogs — just more of everything,” Rosen said.
Although the team has not disclosed exact figures, reports suggest Ohtani’s annual impact on the Dodgers now reaches nine figures. Coupled with the financial opportunities unlocked by his deferred salary structure, predictions of Ohtani as a billion-dollar asset for the franchise appear well on their way to becoming reality.
“Because he helps create a winning culture, he makes business better,” Rosen said. “Whether it’s in sponsorship or merchandise or ticket sales. You name it, he does it.”
“If you’re only going to count the $2 million [of his salary] from this year,” Kasten deadpanned when asked about Ohtani’s impact on the team’s bottom line, “I’m gonna say we cleared that hurdle.”
As a result, if the Dodgers weren’t already baseball’s top financial powerhouse, they likely are now.
Since Mark Walter’s Guggenheim investor group acquired the team in 2012, the Dodgers have consistently maintained one of MLB’s highest payrolls. However, Ohtani’s arrival has ushered in an unprecedented era of spending at Chavez Ravine.
Prior to signing Ohtani, the Dodgers had only inked six contracts worth $100 million or more in their history and often seemed cautious about committing to massive deals for marquee free agents.
Now, within the past year alone, the team has finalized five such contracts, including last month’s $182 million agreement with two-time Cy Young Award winner Blake Snell.
“We always have been good, and we always have been aggressive,” Kasten said. “But [having Ohtani] makes us attractive as a landing spot for players. So is there a little bit of striking while the iron is hot? We certainly felt that way. We have a greater offering than ever.”
Several of the Dodgers’ recent blockbuster deals have included substantial deferrals, sparking criticism from some in the baseball world who argue that the wealthy Dodgers are amplifying their economic edge over the rest of the league. However, these contracts also feature sizable signing bonuses: $52 million for Blake Snell, $50 million for Yoshinobu Yamamoto, $30 million for Will Smith, and $10 million for Tyler Glasnow.
This approach benefits all parties involved. The Dodgers minimize the impact on their luxury tax payroll, while players retain the present value of their contracts.
Still, this strategy requires the team to pay a significant amount of cash upfront.
That’s where Ohtani comes in. His contract with the Dodgers was deliberately structured to allow the team to pursue additional star players using this exact financial model.
“The pledge that we made when we met with him about how aggressive we were going to be to try to win, we feel some responsibility and obligation to fulfill that,” president of baseball operations Andrew Friedman said last week.
Could the Dodgers have spent this aggressively — with their 2025 luxury tax payroll already projected to exceed $300 million and more signings likely on the horizon — without Ohtani in the mix?
“Fortunately,” Friedman said, “we don’t have to spend much time thinking about that alternate reality.”
Ohtani’s financial impact isn’t limited to the Dodgers alone.
His immense popularity has elevated the sport’s global profile. His first career postseason appearance this year boosted television ratings throughout October. Meanwhile, companies unable to secure sponsorship deals with the Dodgers have opted to purchase advertising space in other teams’ ballparks for games when Ohtani is in town.
“That’s power of Shohei,” Rosen said. “It’s almost like a Shohei economy for baseball.”
No one has benefited more from Ohtani’s presence than the Dodgers.
They gained a superstar who played a pivotal role in their championship success. They secured a sponsorship magnet who has significantly boosted the team’s revenue. And now, just one year into their ten-year partnership, the impact is becoming unmistakably evident, empowering the Dodgers to wield their financial strength in ways previously unimaginable.
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